What goes up must come down, a basic law of physics that investors forget when the stock market is crashing. The opposite is most certainly also true, what goes down will come back up. If you have lived through a stock market correction, then you may already know this to be true. Remain steadfast in your investment strategy to put yourself in the best position to capture the recovery.
It is during a market pullback that people forget the rebound will repeatedly exceed the fall. The issue is certainty, if you knew for certain you would get ten dollars in the future for spending five dollars today it is easy to spend the money upfront. The difference in terms of the stock market is there is an element of uncertainty with any investment. Historical analysis proves time and time again that the rebound will exceed the fall. However more often an investor will make an irrational decision driven by fear, leading to panic selling in search of a more certain outcome. As the chart will explain, if you have the patience to wait out a crash, there is evidence to suggest you will be rewarded in the years following.us_one-pager_history-shows-that-stock-gains-can-add-up-after-big-declines
No one has a perfect understanding of the future and what will happen, but we can use the information illustrated by history and the concepts of the market cycle to assume there is a higher probability of positive outcomes following a market correction. According to the piece published by Dimensional Funds, following a 10%, 20%, and 30% market decline, the following 1 year, 3 year, and 5 year average cumulative returns have tended to be positive. When the market pulls back, the years following tend to have positive cumulative returns.
There are always periods of time that could be outliers to this idea however the data shows the longer the period invested the better the potential for positive returns. Patience is still a long-term drive of investor success. Those who have stayed invested the longest, tend to have the best returns. After a decline, the average cumulative return is by far the greatest after 5 years. As the article points out, each downturn event 10%, 20% and 30% all show over 50% cumulative returns in the subsequent 5-year period. Past performance is not indicative of future returns. Past performance is a representation of how the event played out at one time which can be used to assume the outcome of similar events in the future.
Quick and Impactful Financial Insights – January 2022
- Jan 1st: New Years Day
- Jan 1st Social Security & Medicare Changes Changes Kick In
- Jan 15th: Fourth Quarter 2021 Estimated Tax Payments are due
- January 17th: Martin Luther King, Jr Day – (Stock Market Closed)
It’s a new year which means a fresh start and plenty of things to be excited about. Financially 2021 ended with the same dull tone it carried most of the year. Here’s a quick recap: inflation is scary, interest rates will rise in 2022, and lots of talk of tax law change but nothing moved in Washington. This month Lane Hipple shares the optimism of a new year and the excitement we get from impacting lives through proactive planning.
We start this month’s reading with confirmation that financial planning impacts quality of life and increases happiness. We move into trends the industry see taking a forefront in 2022 and explore the current supply chain constraints. We wrap up with a view into the future and how retirement and aging will be very different as technology helps us live longer fuller lives.
The Lane Hipple team would like to thank you for making 2021 another successful year. We wish you a healthy, happy and successful 2022, Happy New Year, Enjoy this month’s reading!
- Financial Planning Means Happiness
- 6 Financial Planning Trends for 2022
- Why Are Supply Chains Blocked?
- 5 Ways Technology Will Change How You Age
Financial Planning Means Happiness
There are many reasons why people hire financial advisors, beneath all them is a desire for contentment and happiness. Well according to a new study, hiring a financial advisor actually is associated with being happier. Whether it’s the confidence in your financial decisions, the surety you are on track for your goals or relief from financial stresses, having a trusted partner for your financial life decisions will make for a happier journey. Lane Hipple is proud to be your planning firm and deliver happiness. We have ambitions to help more families in 2022, and welcome the opportunity to talk with those you know and care about that so we can spread the joy!
6 Financial Planning Trends in 2022
Entering a new year gives us the opportunity to step back, reflect on the past year and contemplate the year ahead. We think about what we could face in 2022; tax and regulation change, market volatility, inflation, rapid retirement of workforce, evolving client communication and rethinking the work/life harmony. As we address clients’ financial plans for the years ahead, the Lane Hipple team is always exploring planning strategies and expanding our knowledge to deliver the best service to our clients. This article highlights some of the trends that investors and clients may face in 2022
Why Are Supply Chains Blocked?
The pandemic has created an enormous amount of pressure on people, businesses and institutions; like hospitals, schools..just about everyone and everything. One thing is becoming abundantly clear, global supply networks have collapsed just as the recovery momentum was swelling. Like a Philadelphia sports team leading up the playoffs, the global supply chain cannot handle the pressure. Surging demand is leading to the shortages, but numerous disruptions and delays are leading to prolonged issues. Read more about the complex supply chain and the dynamic issues that the global economy will have to overcome to move past this imbalance in supply and demand.
5 Ways Technology Will Change How You Age
Technology enhances our daily lives in countless ways, and advances are moving at an accelerated pace. Have you considered how this evolution will effect human life in the future, like how we age. The potential to significantly impact how we age is monumental, going far beyond just longer life expectancy. Technology will affect our quality of life, mobility, socialization, health monitoring and where we age. Learn about how technology will enable us to live fuller lives as we age.
Enjoy the Lite Reading and Remember
“An Investment in Knowledge Pays the Best Interest” ~ Benjamin Franklin
Tax topics to address for the end of the year 2021
One of the most overlooked areas of financial planning remains income & wealth tax planning, and I mean forward looking problem solving planning that address clients current tax situation, their future tax obligations and the ever changing tax environment. The last five years have been monumental for tax planning and having a financial planning team that understands importance of navigating the complex tax environment is more crucial than ever. In a very short period of time we have seen significant tax changes from the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) of 2017; The Setting Every Community Up for Retirement Enhancement (SECURE) Act; The Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (CARES) Act; the Consolidated Appropriations Act; and the American Rescue Plan of 2021. If that doesn’t have your head spinning we are on the brink of another major tax overhaul pending the passing of the Build Back Better Act, Spending Plan and Infrastructure Bill. All of these have made an already confusing tax system mindbogglingly complex, however we are helping clients navigate and plan with sound tax planning strategies. Below is a great resource about potential year end strategies for tax leverage, savings and creating generational wealth.Tax-Topics-Checklist-for-2021
As we play our chess match against the IRS, we have to adapt to the rules as they change.
In retirement income and tax planning the long-standing conventional wisdom has pounded the table to “defer, defer, defer” therefore most people contribute pretax to their retirement plans and let it grow as long as possible. While often the default contributing to 401k and 403b plans with pretax deferrals creates tax consequences that leaves savers at the whim of future tax rates and rules. We work to utilize the accounts available to us and leverage the tax benefits in our favor, but are you focused on a pawn while leaving your king exposed? Given the flood of new tax law and recent regulation changes, make sure your strategy still delivers a winning outcome.
Like an gambit in chess you must assess the potential outcomes of your current IRA, 401k or any qualified retirement savings. These are no longer your only option, investors have more choices than they know. The opportunity for ROTH contributions, Roth 401k or ROTH conversions create the strategies to shift board in your favor and capture checkmate
IRA experts Ed Slott shares his advice on how delaying retirement income no longer makes sense
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With interest rates bottomed out, the threat of rising taxes and the spreads on corp bonds tightening it may be time to consider high yield municipal bonds.Building-A-Case-for-High-Yield-Munis
The information provided is not directed at any investor or category of investors and is provided solely as general information and to otherwise provide general investment education. None of the information provided should be regarded as a suggestion to engage in or refrain from any investment-related course of action. Investors should carefully consider their investment objectives, risks and expenses. Individuals should contact their financial advisor or other fiduciary about whether any given investment, idea, strategy, product or service may be appropriate for your circumstances.